TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c12,690$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.275,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c10,156$6,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.542,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under45c9,867$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.7731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c3,996$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under48c1,713$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.012864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under61c1,648$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.055457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over55c1,350$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.262766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c953.97$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.691,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over38c942.48$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over55c909.08$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Over47c801.07$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c703.54$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.713,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c681$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.552,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under71c677.98$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.982055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under48c669.9$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0935240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c583.56$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.812,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over56c562.5$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over54c510$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.837342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c487.06$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.751,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over46c481.24$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3719135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over17c466.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.443917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under45c351.55$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c285.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under57c246.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under44c227.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.285042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over56c224.06$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.472962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over61c220.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.038818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over35c216.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c209.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.872,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Under55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over55c184.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under77c183.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.474477.3%34 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over59c170.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over55c164.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under39c163.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9922145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under45c146.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.677347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under38c146$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9321752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d20…05c8backed Under32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over56c138.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over69c138.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under58c136$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c135$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.572,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over56c124.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1134155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c108.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.851,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under41c104.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1215041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Over22c95.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under42c95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.131039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.271,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under80c81.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over63c63.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7531355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under55c62.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over63c59.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5533658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over55c52.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0415143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9910352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over55c49.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over27c48.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under39c46.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under55c44.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over24c44.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6456.7%3 W · 42 L-16.3wins-0.36per pick43cpaid-90.1%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over56c41.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf4…348dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c39.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Over40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under80c36.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.472487.5%21 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick76cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c35.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.351936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c30.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under43c30.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4112156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7516453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over58c24.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.267262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c21.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c21.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.