South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6b1c8064fe3fa3431c60c2765a596ac8647388bb34fd279b06947c4776a0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,602$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked No | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 62c | 738.91$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 45c | 580.44$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 42c | 464.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 59c | 331.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 60c | 278.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked No | 46c | 243.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 58c | 205.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 62c | 194.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 62c | 192.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 185.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 181.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…8898backed Yes | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 148.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…05c8backed No | 54c | 101.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 43c | 98.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…f634backed Yes | 57c | 84.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 80.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 75.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 56c | 73.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 72.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 60.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 57c | 55.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 46c | 50.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 46.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 41.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…0c64backed Yes | 60c | 41.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed No | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Yes | 75c | 13.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.