South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x766659b961764146fc69329bfb40197ed81ba0e412bda41535201ace11bf5031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,183$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 47c | 1,776$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.62 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 57c | 1,311$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.12 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 15c | 1,140$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.13 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 53c | 1,017$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 68c | 906.01$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.53 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 739.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 739.04$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 45c | 623.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 602.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 31c | 535$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 527.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 19c | 460$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.95 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 55c | 453.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 382.1$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…05c8backed Under | 69c | 291.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 290.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 289.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 7c | 286.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.86 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 80c | 259.94$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…753dbacked Over | 80c | 250.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 58c | 225.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…d7a1backed Under | 7c | 190.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +691.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 156.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 20c | 146.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 50c | 139.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 109.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 84.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 80c | 71.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 44c | 71.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 80c | 50.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 59c | 43.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 76c | 33.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 58c | 30.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 41c | 24.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…4259backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.