South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1e73646f69fe84cb7934b4fae19ebd44f1a60a9aecd7c0c941d9f725bf3321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 3,519$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.67 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 3,228$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 31c | 3,125$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.66 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 37c | 2,713$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.54 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 2,194$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 2,066$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.93 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 22c | 1,794$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 386.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…3cfdbacked Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 271.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 34c | 218.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 34c | 208$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 205.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 176.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 168.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 162.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 34c | 78.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 28c | 56.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 55.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 50.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 34c | 44.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 34c | 41.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 52c | 38.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ed1backed Over | 34c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 16.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.