Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0be97719834bb4bcdb0a8b4208b57f1073c5e2786ca30c0be3b9861c1c65ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 41c | 299,769$122,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,889.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 59c | 120,000$70,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,200 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,000 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 37,427$14,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,799.29 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 27,558$16,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,267.61 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 42c | 12,331$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 0c | 11,700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 59c | 9,257$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 7,096$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.31 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 59c | 5,555$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 3,897$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.76 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 3,878$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Under | 58c | 3,837$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Under | 65c | 3,822$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 59c | 2,919$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.67 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 17c | 2,399$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Under | 57c | 2,361$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 41c | 2,250$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked Under | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 64c | 1,697$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Under | 76c | 1,580$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 1,401$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.54 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Over | 42c | 1,329$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 58c | 1,120$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 58c | 1,053$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 60c | 1,039$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.6 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 38c | 1,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…c72ebacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Under | 65c | 879.4$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Under | 58c | 803.93$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 58c | 715.52$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…056abacked Over | 34c | 696.05$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 658.75$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 38c | 606.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Under | 73c | 551.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 522.38$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 516.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 36c | 487.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 43c | 447.26$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 60c | 435$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 64c | 426.56$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 34c | 327.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…7e03backed Under | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…dfe9backed Under | 58c | 273.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 63c | 264.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 38c | 263.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 43c | 241.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 58c | 239.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed Under | 64c | 214.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 61c | 206.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Under | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Under | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 43c | 194.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.