TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over72c69,982$50,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,841.54566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over68c43,753$29,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,005.573164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c30,145$8,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,837.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under30c27,480$8,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,203.5752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c15,661$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,790.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c12,685$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.9693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c10,088$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.571,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over68c7,915$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.746155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under32c3,700$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over70c3,544$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.196100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under31c2,100$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6408251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under42c1,954$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.411850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Over72c1,351$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over67c1,152$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.165556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25610152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25620827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under29c611.93$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.461942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Under5c539.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.267231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under30c440.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c437.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over71c436.87$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.69875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under33c435$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.556949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1288242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over51c341.18$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c297.82$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.33066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under30c269.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5416448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under32c240$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under30c239.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6619652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under32c190$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.614155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under32c180$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c135.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over69c130.43$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.434136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under32c128.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.173040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.48948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.69252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under31c119.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1816842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under33c119.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5820841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x604b…68e3backed Under14c115$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c108.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5717958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…5981backed Over69c101$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed Under29c90.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.612123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over70c83.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3311529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over74c83.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under35c70.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.529754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under32c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Under28c66.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Over63c66.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over63c66.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47d…2ad1backed Under38c63.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under23c62.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.476050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.