Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cc03d3d1bd1c5c95bdc93822299dabe1ba871f30e16fe054f738f90c08d877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 72c | 69,982$50,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,841.5 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 68c | 43,753$29,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,005.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 30,145$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,837.39 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 30c | 27,480$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,203.57 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 15,661$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 12,685$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.96 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 10,088$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.57 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 68c | 7,915$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.74 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 32c | 3,700$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 70c | 3,544$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 31c | 2,100$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.99 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 42c | 1,954$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Over | 72c | 1,351$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Under | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 67c | 1,152$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 29c | 611.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Under | 5c | 539.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 30c | 440.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 437.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Over | 71c | 436.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 33c | 435$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Over | 51c | 341.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 297.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 30c | 269.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 30c | 239.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 135.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 32c | 128.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 31c | 119.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 33c | 119.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…68e3backed Under | 14c | 115$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 108.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…5981backed Over | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed Under | 29c | 90.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 70c | 83.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 74c | 83.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 35c | 70.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 28c | 66.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Over | 63c | 66.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 63c | 66.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…2ad1backed Under | 38c | 63.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 23c | 62.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.