Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c57fde270f7c769ffe1379c56c13b50484235a37e1ce3835ed47ee5bc982452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 1,770$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 47c | 1,099$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.06 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 63c | 952.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 53c | 634.13$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 584.09$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.84 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 532.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 46c | 403.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 54c | 263.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 40c | 150.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 57c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 44c | 129.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 43c | 115.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 105.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 45c | 96.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 84.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 47c | 69.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed No | 64c | 67.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 64.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked No | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…a451backed No | 55c | 35.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Yes | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 47c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 64c | 29.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…2943backed Yes | 47c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed No | 55c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.