Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfc8ea87f3f57f807aa97ca3e3dfc36fd02fee75dde2e532e74632718e8cb4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,331,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,304,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,331,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 30c | 268,276$80,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,793.31 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 30c | 229,200$68,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,938.19 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 71c | 192,824$136,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,905.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 65c | 166,010$108,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,257.03 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 70c | 150,429$105,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,300.3 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 112,235$37,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,763.82 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 71c | 65,441$46,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,775.32 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 28c | 58,521$16,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,134.8 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 29c | 49,812$14,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,350.3 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 29c | 46,187$13,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,792.64 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 42,996$25,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,510.74 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 42,597$30,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,554.21 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…0478backed Yes | 0c | 40,510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 29c | 35,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,949.66 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 29c | 33,723$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,901.1 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 28c | 31,976$8,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,079.66 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 28,191$8,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,780.3 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…55eabacked Yes | 71c | 26,781$18,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,993.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 30c | 26,455$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,518.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 29c | 25,746$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,279.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 24,170$16,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,991.84 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Yes | 70c | 21,429$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 20,879$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.23 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 28c | 20,808$5,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,994.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed No | 30c | 20,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 19,010$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,396.98 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 72c | 16,667$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 15,725$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,188.25 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 15,571$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,211.17 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 41c | 14,836$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.41 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Yes | 0c | 14,834$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 30c | 14,300$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 29c | 14,163$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,055.45 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 13,048$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790.69 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 13,000$9,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 28c | 13,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 70c | 12,804$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.82 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 12,687$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 30c | 11,467$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 28c | 11,280$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 70c | 10,901$7,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,630.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 30c | 9,600$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Yes | 2c | 9,359$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 56c | 9,312$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 8c | 9,129$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.34 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 71c | 9,000$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 39c | 8,958$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 8,601$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,966.85 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 71c | 8,100$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 2c | 8,100$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 19c | 7,924$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 28c | 7,911$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 70c | 7,686$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.41 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 40c | 7,429$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.37 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 30c | 7,100$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 29c | 7,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.97 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 72c | 6,988$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 28c | 6,680$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 72c | 6,395$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 70c | 6,291$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.55 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 29c | 6,262$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.29 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 30c | 6,207$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 71c | 6,010$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 19c | 5,790$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 72c | 5,571$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.72 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 56c | 5,556$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 72c | 5,539$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Yes | 18c | 5,470$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…0e79backed Yes | 0c | 5,469$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 30c | 5,400$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 28c | 5,333$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 5,331$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.44 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 62c | 5,254$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 48c | 5,225$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 5,187$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.33 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 39c | 5,183$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.85 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 5,047$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.27 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 55c | 5,046$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.07 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Yes | 71c | 4,553$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Yes | 29c | 4,500$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 30c | 4,487$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.67 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 4,467$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.22 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 70c | 4,463$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.19 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 29c | 4,345$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 50c | 4,070$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.55 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 4,039$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.69 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.