TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes22c23,834$5,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,226.77812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c20,987$16,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.981,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes16c15,427$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No78c9,619$7,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.0734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No78c9,313$7,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0495350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No77c8,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8407346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes23c8,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8402552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes24c7,000$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.9421938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c5,486$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.6420343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No79c4,680$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.84346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…0434backed Yes22c4,518$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes6c4,151$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes22c4,138$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.3414955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No77c3,800$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c3,490$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c3,279$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.8446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes1c2,971$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.789246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No79c2,500$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5355444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes22c2,405$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c2,393$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8838935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes21c2,340$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes25c2,228$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.471931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes12c2,031$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1515938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Yes17c2,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes15c1,987$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes18c1,986$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes12c1,928$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.088751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…ed6ebacked Yes17c1,446$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc80f…93c8backed Yes19c1,383$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.241625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Yes21c1,289$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd337…6fd3backed Yes7c1,287$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20414532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002850%14 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes15c1,065$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes18c1,018$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes11c848$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2860136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Yes14c764.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes22c707.14$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.53231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes6c699.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.852245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes24c667.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes16c639.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7470%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes16c613.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1113931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…c193backed Yes22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes16c543.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No79c508.31$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.815334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49db…f75bbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Yes7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f7…9541backed Yes20c475$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d57…9569backed Yes23c442.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes17c439.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7512644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes21c417.83$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.741931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Yes22c413.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…92f4backed Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+188.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No79c380$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes21c378.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803441.2%14 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes22c363.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No77c334.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.621745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes22c333.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.452236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ff…f325backed Yes13c330$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb1…7d80backed Yes6c318.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb23…5f55backed Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes18c299.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.189624%23 W · 73 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes23c283.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No78c283$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.763046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c3…dd22backed Yes22c281.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes15c261.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8310431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-69.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes4c230$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick8cpaid+108.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c11…39f4backed Yes22c222.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c220.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.219123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Yes18c215.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+79%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No75c214$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.57454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes9c208.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.089233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes23c199.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes22c184.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Yes17c182.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404560%27 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes18c180$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…adc9backed Yes22c178.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes21c176.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes24c175.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.153450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.