TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1c6…910e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT5125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$409.71
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$136.4
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.65
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$48.94
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+318.6%+$235.51
Will Opinion launch a token on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$123.94
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.24
Will Opinion launch a token on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$842.05
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$101.92
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+225.2%+$138.5
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.14
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+48.6%+$83.02
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64.76
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+455.6%+$182.22
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$294.9
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.91
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.8%+$15.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$80.57
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$239.64
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$6.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.