TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$715,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$736,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No22c320,673$70,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,221.321936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Yes79c143,279$113,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,088.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes78c96,644$75,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,261.622060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No21c39,574$8,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,310.489459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes78c34,098$26,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,546.767762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No23c34,080$7,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,838.5150%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes78c30,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6003638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No23c21,496$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.061118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No21c20,290$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,318.717139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4001586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes78c19,198$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.82556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c16,296$12,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.044,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c15,239$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.567922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No21c14,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9404247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes79c12,962$10,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.685058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434e…a307backed Yes79c12,152$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes78c10,888$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.362729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes76c8,177$6,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.4127453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes78c7,289$5,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.3540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes77c6,313$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No18c5,948$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.75616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No20c5,172$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.4826147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes78c4,615$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes77c4,351$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.654845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No24c4,191$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.898828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes77c4,145$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.8750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No22c4,100$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90215516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No21c3,628$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.65253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8055242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes77c3,280$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c3,240$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes77c2,946$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No20c2,654$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.521241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No21c2,600$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.655754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No15c2,396$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7230743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No21c2,102$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes79c2,061$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No23c2,014$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.174148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No22c1,958$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No19c1,822$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.272733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes79c1,741$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.352972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes80c1,735$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes78c1,527$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3828055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes79c1,461$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.784454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No19c1,426$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes78c1,408$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.769052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No20c1,359$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.852147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes79c1,358$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f68…f736backed Yes78c1,275$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes77c1,266$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.172142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes79c1,218$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.723562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No2c1,205$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.113250%16 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Yes77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761580%12 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes79c1,104$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21020255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed No24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No20c999.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20511430.7%35 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No20c999.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No21c999.68$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.047953.2%42 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes79c947.78$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes77c943.52$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2052…529fbacked Yes80c911.83$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.37862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No22c852.76$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.048961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes78c666.67$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Yes80c650$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes78c620$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes77c613.75$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.942740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14f…186ebacked No23c569.37$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Yes77c555$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes79c548.46$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.188858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No20c530$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes79c516.46$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No18c503.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.616544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No21c476$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No21c472.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.587653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes79c454.46$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes78c446.42$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.581450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No22c440$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.814621.9%32 W · 114 L+0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes80c430.42$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.076852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No19c399.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes78c395.18$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.943847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No21c390$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.96836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes79c379$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.593560%21 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes79c361.72$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No19c335.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.682927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes78c321.76$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.