Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4b83ae791a0ace30c87b4965e05aafa91434a0f207cfe2e48409a7f0b7bf84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,775$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.9 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 4,577$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 72c | 2,502$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.56 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 2,486$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.49 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,006$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,945$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,065$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…fc59backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 744.71$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Yes | 16c | 737.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 9c | 717$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 29c | 655.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 649.24$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 16c | 428.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…94b7backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 21c | 366.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc6…d510backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 213$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 28c | 201$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…911dbacked Yes | 27c | 189.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 72c | 188.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 17c | 173.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 29c | 157.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee48…8155backed Yes | 27c | 154.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 111.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…b614backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 83.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes | 14c | 82.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…2589backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…fdb0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…05e5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 71c | 59.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 21c | 58.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…cc40backed Yes | 30c | 46.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3e…71efbacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 28c | 44.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 72c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 79c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.