Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b46132806f3dcbea0d906e0378de2955e6eb8f28533cb07ecdc50481464a321

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $78,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,492 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	12c	26,993$3,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,177.22	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No	75c	6,492$4,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.93	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	11c	3,227$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.72	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	15c	2,972$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.92	375	44%165 W · 210 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	20c	2,240$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.72	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Yes	11c	1,362$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.86	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	11c	1,310$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…9cbebacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes	9c	981.12$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes	11c	867.63$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.57	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes	25c	801.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	9c	600.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	174	26.4%46 W · 128 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes	16c	570$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.9	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes	11c	550$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes	12c	504.17$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	10c	480$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes	11c	455.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes	24c	425.53$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc976…0ad5backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6024…d4f0backed Yes	16c	321.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes	7c	320$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	84	27.4%23 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Yes	21c	318$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.52	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Yes	10c	306.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	14c	297.85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0921…263ebacked Yes	21c	288.22$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7263…9422backed No	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	58cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes	10c	240$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2efc…8259backed No	79c	230$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dec…be12backed Yes	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c9…b445backed Yes	11c	210.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes	20c	202.02$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ab…42a1backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	291	34.4%100 W · 191 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	107	17.8%19 W · 88 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes	21c	190.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes	27c	188.89$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	16c	179.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	-9.8wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-50%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes	28c	175$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.32per pick	45cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdfb…3929backed Yes	29c	167.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes	23c	162.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911e…90d5backed Yes	13c	151.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	9c	133.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes	34c	117.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	277	50.2%139 W · 138 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	73c	104.07$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…71dfbacked Yes	20c	100.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2070…fd5bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…6dbabacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…89e2backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…b927backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5d…01d2backed Yes	26c	99.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ab…c743backed Yes	16c	97.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3277…33c9backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed No	79c	95.67$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.67	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a3…0740backed Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…18cabacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc164…d0e3backed Yes	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc4…bd5dbacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x247a…608cbacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	291	42.3%123 W · 168 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e4…3342backed Yes	27c	63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes	18c	62.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked No	75c	45.8$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?No won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event