TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$851,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$818,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,602 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes5c536,654$26,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,832.710443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes2c19,657$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.116221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes6c19,489$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes6c19,224$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.8338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes14c17,090$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.5934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes5c10,955$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.748040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6e…255abacked Yes13c8,952$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…0434backed Yes6c8,636$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes7c7,767$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.339043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Yes6c6,375$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes3c5,600$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17270%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec9…b631backed Yes20c5,099$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes5c4,216$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7816349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes5c4,133$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7699…10cfbacked Yes25c4,079$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes6c4,050$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-75.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes6c1,956$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes14c1,746$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.864233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c1,730$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes6c1,693$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3813927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes6c1,653$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes7c1,614$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes6c1,613$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1810051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…9cbebacked Yes6c1,590$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes6c1,547$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8420462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked No79c1,506$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.293964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes7c1,460$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes3c1,282$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.826154.1%33 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Yes6c1,259$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes7c1,155$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes20c1,024$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.143935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff32…2496backed No78c1,011$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Yes5c999.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes20c959.32$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.052450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes22c956.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2710744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Yes2c955.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.652420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb41b…b786backed Yes6c902.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes14c900$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes11c779.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cf8…a92dbacked No77c766.78$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.36560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes22c759.46$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0810850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes22c710.39$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.717466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes16c706.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes6c700$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424030%12 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked Yes17c690.59$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a8…dd22backed Yes6c683.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes4c630$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes13c623.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0344033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5b…aeecbacked Yes6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes14c597.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1720343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…8a97backed Yes14c580.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Yes6c546$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…fe81backed Yes9c545.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…c5a1backed Yes5c535.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes13c523.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc122…731fbacked Yes9c510.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes6c485.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c9…fbe6backed Yes11c465.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…de7fbacked Yes8c438.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea4…8895backed Yes6c418.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+124.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes5c411.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfac…75debacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed No79c399.98$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes6c386$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.164744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes6c383.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes14c367.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5110649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5302…06febacked Yes6c364.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5721…0da3backed Yes8c358.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5017…4daebacked Yes6c351.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes16c343.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes6c337.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202619.2%5 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205339.6%21 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes9c304.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.858027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes21c294.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked No80c289.93$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.993043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes5c284.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.389754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes16c273$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.527450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes14c258.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1838253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.