TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8ea…e3e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST180%0 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$301.01
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.2
Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Northwestern State Demons vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.05
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.6
Evansville Aces vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Rice Owlsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Iona Gaels vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.94
Salish Kootenai Bison vs. Montana Grizzliesbacked Salish Kootenai Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$47.56
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$250
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$84.77
Charleston Cougars vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$179.29
Colgate Raiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.7
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Idaho Vandals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.74
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.02
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.85
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.87
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.94
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.65
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,084.6%+$356.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+558.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+592.3%+$885.44
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+525%+$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$158.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$499.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.27
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$106.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+140%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.