Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate Raiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb538daaec4005fa3c37e2696e73966326239ae2badbfe05b9e7abc8bef51add5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof Colgate Raiders, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 3,922$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.25 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 36c | 2,804$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.63 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colgate Raiders | 30c | 2,559$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Colgate Raiders | 17c | 2,530$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 2,184$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colgate Raiders | 27c | 1,172$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colgate Raiders | 41c | 1,067$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 840.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Colgate Raiders | 13c | 799$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 39c | 782.03$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Colgate Raiders | 58c | 651.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Colgate Raiders | 50c | 605$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colgate Raiders | 63c | 567.47$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…b424backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 557.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colgate Raiders | 17c | 447.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 74c | 432.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colgate Raiders | 36c | 421.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 363.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Colgate Raiders | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 61c | 286.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Colgate Raiders | 25c | 282.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colgate Raiders | 26c | 261.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Colgate Raiders | 39c | 238.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colgate Raiders | 15c | 190.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Colgate Raiders | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Colgate Raiders | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Colgate Raiders | 34c | 122.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 114.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Colgate Raiders | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Colgate Raiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 90.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 86.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Colgate Raiders | 67c | 86.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Colgate Raiders | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Colgate Raiders | 59c | 68.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colgate Raiders | 52c | 68.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Colgate Raiders | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Colgate Raiders | 16c | 66.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…cfc0backed Colgate Raiders | 75c | 51.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Colgate Raiders | 23c | 49.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 30c | 49.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…e7eebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…3112backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d16…d548backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…070ebacked Colgate Raiders | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.