Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62924f00216102968aabffd05041d13924c32577f58ccfa700753ced37e085b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 4c | 25,501$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 4c | 24,435$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.67 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 8,174$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.51 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 3c | 7,749$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,395$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 6c | 5,357$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 4c | 5,127$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,938$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 3c | 3,687$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…afbcbacked Yes | 4c | 3,659$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 3,488$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,455$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,405$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 3c | 2,710$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,663$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 2,418$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,336$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 5c | 2,140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 5c | 2,064$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 2c | 1,966$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 1,718$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 4c | 1,593$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,344$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 3c | 1,223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f948backed Yes | 4c | 1,216$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,074$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 4c | 1,038$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 4c | 908.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 5c | 851.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 6c | 819.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f9…3970backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…22a1backed Yes | 5c | 790.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 3c | 771.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 737.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 3c | 735.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 4c | 685.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Yes | 8c | 636.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…4691backed Yes | 4c | 626.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 3c | 549.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 4c | 545.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 4c | 527.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…32b9backed Yes | 4c | 515.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Yes | 4c | 512.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Yes | 4c | 502.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 4c | 502.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 466.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 5c | 415$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…85bebacked Yes | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 4c | 403.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 4c | 389.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 4c | 377.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…e738backed Yes | 5c | 361.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 5c | 348.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 6c | 336.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 328.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 5c | 307.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…69aebacked Yes | 5c | 273.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 6c | 257.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 4c | 256.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…750bbacked Yes | 4c | 250.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 5c | 247.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…0bb1backed Yes | 6c | 203.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…46bcbacked Yes | 8c | 202.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 6c | 201.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.