Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2525cbd9c6c983cc24492140c496f67aed960576203e1174fb0c8e84c4ba07a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 7c | 18,612$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 12,269$8,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.25 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 17c | 7,853$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.28 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 4,130$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…03aebacked Yes | 8c | 3,561$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 3,444$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 15c | 3,363$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.83 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 3,121$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.13 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 9c | 3,009$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 2,253$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 9c | 2,235$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 2,162$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.68 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,049$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 52c | 1,987$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.8 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Yes | 78c | 1,597$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 10c | 1,587$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked Yes | 49c | 1,517$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 18c | 1,360$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 1,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 9c | 809$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 20c | 780$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 779.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 10c | 768.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 742.85$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.05 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 77c | 708.84$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.73 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 10c | 685.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 28c | 680.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 32c | 624.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 613.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 10c | 509.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…85bebacked Yes | 25c | 490$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 12c | 458.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 10c | 447.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…b7d5backed Yes | 5c | 409.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 6c | 345.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 19c | 317.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…f66cbacked Yes | 33c | 310.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 10c | 276$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 14c | 224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 12c | 223.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…8259backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8501…d1d4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Yes | 51c | 196.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 10c | 179.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 12c | 177$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 9c | 166.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d7b7backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Yes | 10c | 111.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 24c | 100.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 78c | 100.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e9…b4a8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…22a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…df6ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8da…f0b5backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…61ecbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +253%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…ac09backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed No | 78c | 53.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…8c3bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes | 79c | 48.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.