Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f909696b55cfdcbda5a204b36d6b7988210923d9086f240f2f72e849af81c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,475,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,584,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,475,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 12c | 577,305$71,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,771.9 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 12c | 197,280$23,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,793.54 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 169,761$25,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,114.21 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 12c | 124,413$14,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,965.9 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 13c | 99,999$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.93 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 13c | 89,221$11,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,598.69 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 15c | 72,612$10,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,911.38 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 12c | 41,666$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.92 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 25c | 36,063$8,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,863.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 13c | 29,992$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 15c | 24,023$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.55 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 23c | 20,563$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 16c | 19,930$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.14 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 77c | 14,408$11,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 14,260$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.8 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 13c | 13,800$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 22c | 13,615$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.48 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 5c | 11,921$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.1 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 12c | 11,290$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.9 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 13c | 11,213$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.38 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 10,534$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 12c | 10,337$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.76 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 9,989$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed No | 18c | 6,100$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 53c | 5,980$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.88 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 13c | 5,829$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 13c | 5,555$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 7c | 5,398$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.43 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 15c | 5,300$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.22 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 77c | 5,299$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.88 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 26c | 5,136$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 14c | 4,585$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 12c | 4,166$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed No | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed No | 13c | 3,206$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…9cc5backed No | 14c | 2,677$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 75c | 2,668$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 13c | 2,607$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.82 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 24c | 2,500$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.57 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 74c | 2,312$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 13c | 2,301$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 18c | 2,235$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.35 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 67c | 2,131$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.75 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 19c | 2,060$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.31 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 13c | 2,001$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 14c | 1,978$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 15c | 1,906$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,805$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 12c | 1,653$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,638$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 63c | 1,576$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 12c | 1,541$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 13c | 1,528$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 13c | 1,523$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 13c | 1,495$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 15c | 1,423$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,351$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 13c | 1,331$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.05 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 75c | 1,320$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 3c | 1,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes | 80c | 1,267$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 13c | 1,237$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 13c | 1,211$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked No | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 1,157$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.82 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 13c | 1,157$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked No | 14c | 1,146$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 64c | 1,079$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 19c | 1,056$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.67 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 12c | 955.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 13c | 937.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 13c | 927$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 13c | 927$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 800$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 73c | 779.16$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 79c | 760$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.