Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b0c2a269055cbc00291e87b07a85d713540d01d7bcf0937f1bfab72b00e68c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 4,423$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.7 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 1,830$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,340$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 20c | 586.09$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 18c | 486.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 437.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 432.15$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes | 17c | 305.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 19c | 256.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…21ffbacked Yes | 8c | 169.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 11c | 168.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 79c | 159$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 19c | 129.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 80c | 78.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 17c | 76.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 76.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 80c | 72.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.