Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e497f7d34ff0bc9cd4fcef7b549b03df5e48caeddfb9755838c0f6ef09372f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 65c | 5,270$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,956$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 2,711$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.03 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 2,591$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.06 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 1,597$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.04 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,335$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.47 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 358.52$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 38c | 317.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.13 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 153.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 138$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 122.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 120.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…1d59backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 33c | 52.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 75c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 68c | 30.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 48c | 29.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 75c | 23.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b213backed No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked No | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.