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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacramento State Hornetsof Weber State Wildcats, Sacramento State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Weber State Wildcats48c100,073$48,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,078.6589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Sacramento State Hornets52c75,017$39,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,008.4630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f7…4ec4backed Sacramento State Hornets52c43,641$22,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,947.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Sacramento State Hornets53c38,610$20,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,024.948957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae3f…32b9backed Weber State Wildcats48c24,204$11,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,617.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2338…ae11backed Weber State Wildcats48c21,414$10,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,278.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats40c10,508$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sacramento State Hornets50c5,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Weber State Wildcats8c4,643$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Weber State Wildcats48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Weber State Wildcats48c3,891$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.7537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats46c3,155$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Weber State Wildcats8c3,149$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Sacramento State Hornets52c3,056$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.8814854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sacramento State Hornets50c3,035$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.6710745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Weber State Wildcats50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Sacramento State Hornets52c2,896$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.089845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Weber State Wildcats48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Weber State Wildcats50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Sacramento State Hornets52c1,977$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+84.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sacramento State Hornets53c1,890$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.11,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Sacramento State Hornets54c1,868$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.6557248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Weber State Wildcats46c1,181$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Sacramento State Hornets55c1,066$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.513342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Weber State Wildcats54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Weber State Wildcats49c703.95$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Weber State Wildcats44c644.18$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.642,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Weber State Wildcats50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Sacramento State Hornets50c525$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Weber State Wildcats49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Weber State Wildcats45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Weber State Wildcats3c300.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10180%0 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Sacramento State Hornets50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats27c293.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.723,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c7…4138backed Sacramento State Hornets52c249.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Sacramento State Hornets50c236.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0917643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…2eedbacked Sacramento State Hornets48c232.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…4776backed Weber State Wildcats53c232.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Weber State Wildcats48c207.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Weber State Wildcats49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Weber State Wildcats50c202.04$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Weber State Wildcats5c201.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Sacramento State Hornets52c200.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.989442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Weber State Wildcats49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Weber State Wildcats47c147.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Weber State Wildcats10c141.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.883,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Weber State Wildcats33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1213464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats48c118$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.484,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sacramento State Hornets63c109.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.823,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Sacramento State Hornets48c107$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.647656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Weber State Wildcats50c103$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Weber State Wildcats50c101.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Weber State Wildcats50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Weber State Wildcats48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Sacramento State Hornets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Sacramento State Hornets54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5922640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Weber State Wildcats49c80.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Weber State Wildcats52c70.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0824340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Weber State Wildcats46c70.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sacramento State Hornets59c55.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Sacramento State Hornets54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5611445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sacramento State Hornets70c53.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Weber State Wildcats49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sacramento State Hornets48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Sacramento State Hornets48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6725230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Weber State Wildcats48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Weber State Wildcats48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Sacramento State Hornets52c35.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Sacramento State Hornets52c34.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3721651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sacramento State Hornets46c30.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5737835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Weber State Wildcats49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Sacramento State Hornets54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Weber State Wildcats48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.426848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Weber State Wildcats51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.316952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Sacramento State Hornets49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.310043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Weber State Wildcats40c29.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9978…7132backed Weber State Wildcats53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Weber State Wildcats48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Sacramento State Hornets51c24.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Sacramento State Hornets53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Sacramento State Hornets50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Weber State Wildcats47c23.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.077245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Sacramento State Hornets50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Sacramento State Hornets50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d83…f5d0backed Sacramento State Hornets52c22.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Sacramento State Hornets54c22.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8f…55f2backed Sacramento State Hornets52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598f…44c4backed Sacramento State Hornets52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…0733backed Sacramento State Hornets73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.