Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8084aae5ae3be63630a94bb7a6f7514fa9347f4f84c83b6752f7185a165c41e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 118,413$58,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,246.01 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 52c | 48,000$24,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,039.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 32,500$16,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,125 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 22,500$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,825 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 52c | 16,711$8,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.95 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 11,060$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.4 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 48c | 10,133$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.89 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 6,743$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.63 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.95 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,737$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 2,142$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.58 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 2,113$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.15 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 49c | 1,862$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 52c | 1,535$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.8 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 54c | 1,258$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.49 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 975.02$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.76 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 975$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 47c | 691.49$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 530$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 406.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9815backed Under | 54c | 339.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…a459backed Under | 54c | 336.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…bba6backed Over | 47c | 332.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b1…db61backed Over | 47c | 327.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 295.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 251.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 183.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 51c | 147.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 47c | 43.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 53c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 33.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 32.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 47c | 26.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 163.5this page
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-1.5)Sacramento State Hornets won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Sacramento State HornetsSacramento State Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.