TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes5c37,947$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.3510443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa8…debfbacked Yes6c13,067$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes5c5,247$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…0542backed Yes6c4,667$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes5c4,287$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0956…5909backed Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b67…c178backed Yes6c3,332$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes5c3,300$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes6c3,127$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.85825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes5c2,667$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes5c2,409$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4614235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83d…8d68backed Yes11c1,901$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes6c1,900$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.13450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+190.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes6c1,826$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.552416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes5c1,515$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7513238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes7c1,499$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes6c1,281$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8712450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes5c1,249$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebb…017abacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…999fbacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes5c999.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes5c997.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8917426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes6c858.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes3c804.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes10c750$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e3febacked Yes6c615.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.91922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518e…4522backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Yes6c495.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes7c472.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310143.6%44 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe923…0779backed Yes9c447.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes6c433.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-63.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f6…8132backed Yes8c416.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3080…ba8bbacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029134.4%100 W · 191 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes5c370$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes5c366.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd764…5e02backed Yes5c366.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes5c340$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes7c339$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes5c320$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165714%8 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes8c311.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb7…7998backed Yes6c309.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204615.2%7 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes7c297.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes6c295.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.718633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb4d…5408backed Yes7c266.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203650%18 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc976…0ad5backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x386c…389ebacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b1…06cfbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Yes6c244$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes6c240$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes6c226.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes7c201.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4951…42e3backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x262d…aaaebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc085…7634backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1680%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb79…85bebacked Yes6c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f5…2ed7backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…e506backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes11c190.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked Yes9c151.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57931.6%25 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf287…74f3backed Yes8c132.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes9c114.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.