TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No17c120,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40010643.4%46 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No16c27,360$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.557943%34 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No18c19,443$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.798231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No18c15,860$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.744346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No16c12,649$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.814346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No16c7,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No17c6,714$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.410443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No18c5,361$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.671421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No17c5,100$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No16c4,999$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.924238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes79c4,698$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.5258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No24c4,546$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes66c4,534$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.812552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No18c3,358$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.444235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c3,318$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.441,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No16c3,212$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.922729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No26c3,066$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No17c1,727$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No41c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No19c1,256$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.615637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No16c1,162$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.016139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No18c1,097$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No16c999.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…400dbacked No16c960$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes59c840.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.994158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c725.81$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8122054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes65c705.22$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.512626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c605$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No16c600.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0117426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026428.1%18 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes64c600$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2186246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes71c529$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.88151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No17c508.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4513927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No16c499.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.985060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Yes69c456.91$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.511361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No30c443.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.211950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No17c407$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1912938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c398.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9120343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No8c390.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes75c370.41$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No18c366$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.881637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-63.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x701a…49acbacked Yes67c299.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed No17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No17c287.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503823.7%9 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes70c286.86$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.066735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes76c263.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.984761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes62c250.26$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes68c235.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.295756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c222$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…355cbacked Yes67c217.04$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.62887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+81.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c213.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.877931.6%25 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No18c211$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9820947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes61c202.72$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.065545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes70c202$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No16c197.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3715442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No19c197.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.466339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes70c191.43$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.433636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed No40c155.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes65c153.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.113246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No16c153$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2510628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed No34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0a…85e3backed No17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe825…8fc8backed No18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4a…b153backed Yes59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No16c124.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9929134.4%100 W · 191 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked No16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed No18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-85.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked No17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.193633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No16c115.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd466…599bbacked No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59d1…7164backed No17c103.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes60c101.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.675052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x447f…d110backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked No31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes70c98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.674254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…d198backed Yes68c95.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No15c88.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf287…74f3backed No26c87.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes74c87.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.614663%29 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed Yes72c87.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes64c84.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed No18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-80.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.