Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac0a1ddaf2df7533a80ab7fc38cd9358219d6069a5dce4c4ca61a532b6239b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 12c | 9,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 12c | 1,517$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…ec0bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 790.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes | 11c | 575.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 13c | 381.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 221.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 12c | 220.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 20c | 202$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 193$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 142.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 78c | 101.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 14c | 84.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…85bebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 26c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked No | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.