TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa801…b40bbacked Yes0c120,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes16c100,660$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,70040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b8…c158backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes14c10,084$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.5838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc238…9164backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes14c7,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes13c3,008$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…5120backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes14c2,435$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1353…8952backed Yes14c1,893$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb61…8e04backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes14c1,403$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes13c1,388$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.383135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes14c1,006$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5c…0c50backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8da…83e0backed Yes14c966$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabc7…0947backed Yes14c965$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c899.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes15c846.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes12c839.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8192…0664backed Yes2c790$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes14c700.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.011154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes12c640.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1091…a259backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes14c435.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes14c433.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.661612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb4d…b958backed Yes4c390.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes16c382.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes13c382.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.718633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes9c340$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes15c338.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes16c313$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-91%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes14c311$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.543360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes9c299.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes6c288.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes12c281.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes10c279$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.837544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c271$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6843333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Yes13c265.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes15c259.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes12c239.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.733231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes13c234.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.549159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes10c219.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…42cebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes11c189.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes12c185.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc420…eb1bbacked Yes14c171.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…4f68backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…8a97backed Yes10c162.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes14c162$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes12c157.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes13c153.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0229034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes12c143.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710143.6%44 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f6…8132backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202755.6%15 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+69.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes9c140$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-56.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe664…cf7dbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes11c130$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes10c125$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52060%12 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+75.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes12c121.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes9c110$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…b18cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Yes14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes15c69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.