TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$533,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No34c144,352$49,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,079.87742.9%33 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes66c55,000$36,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4657060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c27,998$18,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,530.351,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c27,537$18,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,514.2538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c23,439$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,238.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c20,367$13,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,875.229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c17,993$6,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,297.5310040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No37c14,074$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.434746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes66c11,512$7,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.237346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed No33c9,543$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes63c9,525$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.071258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes66c7,901$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.9638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c7,694$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.7134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No32c7,544$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.158751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62511218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No35c6,870$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.972025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c5,970$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.0515442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes51c5,182$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.722065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.961050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes66c4,834$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.165350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c4,061$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.261,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No3c3,559$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.337454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes66c3,499$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.6810744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c3,266$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.461447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes65c3,076$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.442948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes65c2,622$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Yes65c2,328$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes66c2,100$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c2,093$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.8546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No14c1,835$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.775729.8%17 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+162.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No35c1,593$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No38c1,550$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.259643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked No4c1,441$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes78c1,189$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No37c1,151$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.584254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.112864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c1,086$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes64c1,019$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.234238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No32c1,004$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.129341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No19c999.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.533938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes78c984.54$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.382931%9 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes55c901.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.223050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3874542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No34c899.95$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.986139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No10c836.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No32c800$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2889547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x414f…29a2backed Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No34c777$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1811950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.54860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5172…31e6backed Yes66c678.57$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No35c668.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes66c643.94$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.945246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…f0b2backed Yes63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…e569backed Yes65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06bf…656ebacked No35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c584.62$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6214955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes76c554.91$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6310051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked No34c529.41$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked No38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes63c520.94$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7515250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd36…3f97backed Yes59c517.14$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No34c501.52$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.529159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes60c497.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No36c489.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.099556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes67c480.27$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes43c462.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.471618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes70c428.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.632755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed No30c350.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes58c331.27$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.924963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.588151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked No36c308$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes66c304.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ea…5595backed Yes70c304.24$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.271250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes65c304.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.444355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0310736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes78c297.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.374158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.