Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5fe1aba7116bc7267611f069d429ca80d43af851e31a833bb06b03cdf369971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 12c | 22,907$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.59 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 6,150$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 4,637$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.76 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 11c | 3,449$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,099$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.91 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 2,992$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,556$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 12c | 2,076$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 1,994$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 10c | 1,930$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,553$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.36 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 1,208$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 870.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 5c | 760.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 736$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 727.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 9c | 535.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 10c | 441.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed Yes | 7c | 366$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9685…718ebacked Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 8c | 323.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…ba8bbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 11c | 279$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 10c | 238.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 12c | 238.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…e905backed Yes | 8c | 220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 185.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…c31cbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…40fcbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 11c | 117.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…06cfbacked Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.