La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a4252a405ca08389215971e385ad4e4fbd3ab3fac7e3a18c0f7d554ffa59f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,899$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 64c | 1,186$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 25c | 780.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 45c | 651.02$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.08 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 38c | 427.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 40c | 400.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 345.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 344.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Yes | 66c | 302.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 219.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…7f00backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 165.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 64c | 155.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 36c | 149.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 15c | 138.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 64c | 123.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes | 27c | 97.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Yes | 66c | 90.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 36c | 86.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…4f13backed Yes | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 35c | 74.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3076…e1d7backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 63c | 38.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed No | 41c | 30.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…60e1backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 63c | 22.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 64c | 19.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes | 64c | 18.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Yes | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.