TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,983,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,979,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,983,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes30c200,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,00013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked No70c196,647$137,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,994.191844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No71c107,859$76,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,535.3629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No75c105,291$78,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,570.0621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c64,793$49,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,836.6231945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c64,173$17,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,448.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No68c52,638$36,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,617.771,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c49,178$34,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,604.3874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c47,421$33,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,703.662,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No73c45,971$33,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,376.0238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c38,207$11,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,377.3879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c37,223$29,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,139.8333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c35,769$9,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,836.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes29c32,086$9,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,304.8714232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6003941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c23,977$18,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.2242043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No70c23,227$16,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,968.057445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes31c22,727$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Yes10c20,784$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.482839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed No72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60014449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c18,906$13,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,828.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No70c16,360$11,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.2924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes18c13,765$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes30c13,676$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.7929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…b7d7backed Yes30c13,380$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c13,075$9,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.891,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed Yes32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Yes32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes28c12,196$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.5444524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No69c11,012$7,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.1536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes28c10,831$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.4318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked No73c10,606$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.0111133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.978845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes29c8,924$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5889934.3%34 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c8,887$6,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.3556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No80c8,818$7,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.3111249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c7,931$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.7793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…dbc4backed No71c7,672$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.881861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes23c7,005$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.1465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c6,405$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.341,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes31c6,326$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.7821141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf58…5073backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes32c6,100$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No71c6,071$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.5784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes28c5,322$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No70c5,100$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.998254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x565c…4363backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014630.8%45 W · 101 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55031945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No75c5,000$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.6915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c4,845$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c4,775$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes31c4,602$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.6815746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes15c4,540$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9211561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes28c4,500$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes23c4,233$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9796750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb100…3800backed Yes8c4,197$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No73c4,105$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.3511942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20017235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c3,977$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed No72c3,858$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.275168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No71c3,743$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.423345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1d…c957backed Yes27c3,684$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.955922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No72c3,617$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.088543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x792d…651cbacked Yes29c3,614$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4068…a98ebacked Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes29c3,276$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.0958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf170…d9eabacked Yes29c3,276$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9503933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No76c3,145$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.358926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18bd…0402backed Yes32c3,138$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c3,108$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.217269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes27c3,083$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.8328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes33c3,000$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf58b…5f34backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.997028.6%20 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Yes32c2,813$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes32c2,734$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8759235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes2c2,694$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes30c2,668$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes32c2,645$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.3310426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes20c2,629$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c2,592$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdde…abcfbacked Yes27c2,387$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6408326.5%22 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes10c2,363$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9445528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes32c2,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.867838.5%30 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c2,266$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.691,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes31c2,259$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69214725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes29c2,241$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6508518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.