TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,619,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,176,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,619,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked No77c358,400$274,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274,356.8315456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes29c328,475$96,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,747.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No66c322,421$214,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214,124.1774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c318,354$138,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179,566.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c219,717$119,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,583.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes23c200,564$46,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,843.9542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes50c119,299$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,298.684151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x190e…b11abacked No73c116,932$84,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,954.321266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No22c109,511$23,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,553.0756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No60c99,700$59,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,579.361,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c91,945$37,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,041.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No46c89,483$41,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,510.2921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes46c84,727$39,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,557.74667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No50c81,171$40,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,541.4514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No54c68,984$37,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,179.1636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No35c62,550$21,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,595.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes56c53,433$29,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,600.8138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c53,386$30,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,502.542,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No56c52,074$29,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,234.957445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes23c41,549$9,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,992.4114055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes68c39,778$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,778.153644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No75c39,504$29,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,685.3329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes24c39,291$9,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,861.049345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed No69c31,903$21,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,914.573941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes33c30,716$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,515.5832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes29c30,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,299.977941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No54c30,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.9727039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes51c26,925$13,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,186.9666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed No75c26,500$19,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8752045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No9c26,262$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.9240239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked No77c25,800$19,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,8664734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No52c23,284$12,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,117.2421946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No42c22,814$9,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,550.999742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked No56c22,500$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9710840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Yes45c22,222$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.073661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5219…2a54backed Yes46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.13520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No42c20,961$8,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,779.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes52c20,896$10,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,079.436634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Yes45c20,853$9,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,536.417538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes62c20,804$12,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,921.4631945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No64c20,483$13,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,151.9124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No44c20,176$8,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,910.7739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No56c18,527$10,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,424.2936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes59c18,512$10,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,639.7933337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c18,482$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,190.541,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes63c16,728$10,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,133.2518543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes74c16,000$11,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No66c15,555$10,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,288.5719038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No57c15,526$8,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,880.8519738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No59c14,149$8,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,317.2314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No68c14,000$9,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,519.984235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes57c13,536$7,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,872.1242043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes71c13,351$9,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.8318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c3…b28dbacked No76c13,158$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Yes55c13,133$7,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,896.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes25c12,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0009653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes29c12,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.9814715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…f35ebacked Yes46c11,002$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.212846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes41c10,580$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,192.0551228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No58c10,165$5,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,884.2537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Yes60c10,019$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.442839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes23c10,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.9413331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No58c9,480$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.6430054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes46c9,287$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.319034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes77c9,091$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.918452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes64c8,819$5,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c8,816$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.951,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed No70c8,642$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.87959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes33c8,535$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,756.2229333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed No71c8,317$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.813348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No76c8,078$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.6133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No65c8,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,159.9913762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes24c8,000$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.9730751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes37c7,820$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,942.652920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes68c7,794$5,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.666750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c7,566$3,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.6679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes29c7,500$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3251,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes60c7,412$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.7621141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0156backed No53c7,390$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe305…ca0fbacked Yes24c7,235$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.643138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No71c7,000$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,97017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Yes61c6,711$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.227448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c6,635$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No34c6,625$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.9745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes51c6,599$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.6738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No77c6,494$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed No77c6,494$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes50c6,417$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No47c6,400$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.937269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes78c6,389$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.647133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes24c6,307$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.3150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes56c6,239$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.6417852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ea…2f4bbacked No76c6,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.921450%7 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No39c5,987$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed Yes45c5,976$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.191675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No58c5,892$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.3632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.