TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c46,247$9,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,054.191,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked No80c40,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes20c25,933$5,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,186.5110443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes20c20,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No80c14,877$11,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.146451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No80c12,726$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.2529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No80c8,694$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.88241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No80c8,303$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c5,100$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0505350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes20c4,913$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.642927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes21c3,977$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.955453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes18c3,384$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes19c3,291$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.992030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbb…06c5backed Yes20c2,921$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c2,651$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2212938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes21c1,994$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9612450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No80c1,900$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.094540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes21c1,894$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No80c1,725$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34517853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes15c1,159$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1792030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes19c1,012$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes20c1,001$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a1…9285backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x936e…473fbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0956…5909backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No79c986$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.064744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes18c936.84$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7213927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c841.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dff…b486backed Yes19c799.53$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Yes20c758.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.364744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes17c661$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes20c655.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes13c631.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No80c617.29$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4916853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No78c576.4$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.818151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes22c541.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.22123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes13c515.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No79c503$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.757953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes21c500$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes20c449.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Yes2c437$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd559…8f48backed Yes20c415$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No79c388$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes20c385.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes20c336.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41fc…a467backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes22c263.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes21c260$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes20c256.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No80c250.01$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.253432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes14c239.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…85bebacked Yes11c230$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fa…2f49backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6e…7e2fbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f11…22d7backed No80c218.06$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes19c210.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes21c197.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.412825%7 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes18c197.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc085…7634backed Yes10c185.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5180%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d30…57dcbacked Yes18c180.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes21c175.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.953050%15 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2e5…e24ebacked No80c170.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c164.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No79c164.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.13354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3d…29fcbacked No80c161.7$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981d…0741backed Yes13c159.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7868…4f34backed No80c158.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7397…78b1backed No80c156.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ac6…039abacked No80c155$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f0…bdcdbacked No80c154.64$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…d198backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07a0…642bbacked No79c151.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Yes13c145.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes8c143.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…6879backed Yes18c139.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2872…4cb4backed No80c139.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes21c130.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0112751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.