Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3604e8786096eb21b27411855ed7d1e722a30fa6162b29396621fc971439b2e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,847,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,828,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,847,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 56c | 1,002,338$561,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561,309.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 44c | 714,057$316,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397,063.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 321,543$153,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,527.39 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 235,467$127,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,825.32 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 44c | 234,335$103,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,227.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 44c | 220,487$97,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,472.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 43c | 141,987$61,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,932.64 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yes | 57c | 135,646$77,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,170.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…54c6backed Yes | 51c | 128,709$65,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,270.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 45c | 126,824$57,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,815.71 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 106,091$59,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,714.5 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 54c | 102,500$55,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,675.52 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 93,088$38,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,204.54 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 64c | 77,146$49,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,256 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 53c | 54,081$28,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,418.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 37,638$18,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,257.34 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 33,384$13,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,204.1 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 44c | 30,488$13,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,073.1 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 40c | 29,253$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,492.68 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 23,915$12,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,281.23 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 16c | 23,200$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 22,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 55c | 21,500$11,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,825 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 44c | 20,746$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,602.33 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 19,475$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,075.45 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 52c | 16,242$8,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,846.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 45c | 15,994$7,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,796.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 44c | 15,870$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,823.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 54c | 15,554$8,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 57c | 14,950$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 46c | 14,845$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.66 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 55c | 14,691$8,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,076.52 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…4484backed Yes | 61c | 13,950$8,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 54c | 12,145$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 47c | 12,141$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.36 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 11,363$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,635.46 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 10,440$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846.4 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 45c | 10,267$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.19 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 9,114$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.57 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 43c | 8,947$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.29 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 45c | 7,960$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 7,264$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.1 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…9820backed Yes | 58c | 7,025$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…072bbacked No | 42c | 7,014$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…02ffbacked Yes | 48c | 6,747$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 46c | 6,440$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 45c | 6,285$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.05 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 46c | 5,996$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.65 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 53c | 5,707$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 58c | 5,298$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.03 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 56c | 4,977$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.5 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…1c56backed Yes | 51c | 4,937$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Yes | 56c | 4,600$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 45c | 4,585$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 52c | 4,478$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes | 55c | 4,343$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 44c | 4,268$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 47c | 4,215$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 55c | 4,091$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…866abacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +717.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…5cd0backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…393dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,890$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 55c | 3,741$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 48c | 3,707$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…e4babacked Yes | 55c | 3,500$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…5b42backed Yes | 43c | 3,444$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 38c | 3,390$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 57c | 3,213$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.38 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 3,083$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.3 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 39c | 2,953$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.49 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,946$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 57c | 2,931$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.26 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed No | 42c | 2,818$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…74c7backed Yes | 48c | 2,709$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 40c | 2,579$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 38c | 2,537$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 40c | 2,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.48 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…ec32backed Yes | 58c | 2,451$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 38c | 2,403$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 59c | 2,368$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 45c | 2,300$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.