TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c11,805$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No29c6,085$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.713759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c6,083$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c3,168$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.593417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes16c2,894$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.3314249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes18c2,501$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c2,465$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.8212923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No1c2,193$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725918.6%11 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes16c2,079$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.282958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c1,844$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.9296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No40c1,790$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes74c1,530$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.733256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes16c1,300$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0923537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No32c1,034$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes16c1,029$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.3333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes16c999.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9820827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Yes16c919.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No25c913.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.331010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…9a2ebacked No1c909.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c785.5$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes18c781.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No24c746.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.944717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes78c543.5$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1193554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No39c519.87$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1415550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c485.01$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No2c483$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.414524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes17c482$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes17c471.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3b…05cfbacked Yes72c453.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…4555backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes17c411.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.765251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb30…ad1dbacked No5c405.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No16c357.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes17c301.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.421040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes16c263.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6912049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked No27c240$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked No55c229.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed Yes70c192.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes16c189.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes16c180.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7119549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes17c174.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.012347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No28c169.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3212050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No19c154.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.633243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes17c147.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.06450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+203.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No16c140.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…ab51backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…9822backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed No65c131.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e898backed Yes73c127.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes16c118.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes17c118$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9427226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.322373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+558.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes56c97.68$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.682540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2451…23a3backed Yes17c94.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.07450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked No19c88.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes17c88.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2311146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes16c85.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.232944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3313658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No71c82.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.752060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No54c82.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2113639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed No33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes76c65.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4611546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No17c60.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…bac1backed No32c57.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Yes79c56.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4017142.7%73 W · 98 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes35c47.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.036100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes74c35.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.232259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked No64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No67c29.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.998525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x086c…d655backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d30…6b31backed No51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No54c23.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.588952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c13.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.