Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba9783545df0ec6c4ce8c8a88c72b91477b84a03430bb078ae8a6cc400b378c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 4,222$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 1,240$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.69 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 14c | 400.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 361$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 74c | 288$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 26c | 246.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 204.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 137$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 25c | 119.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 26c | 113.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 84.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…3804backed Yes | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 73c | 56.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 75c | 41.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 28.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…7857backed No | 77c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 19.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.