TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0bc…af98backed Yes60c187,315$112,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,355.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c97,170$40,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,847.762,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c50,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0005240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No44c20,019$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,141.9612050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes59c18,430$10,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,865.8911848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No42c16,930$7,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,819.666429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c13,954$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.6596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No41c13,004$5,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,687.641631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c7,823$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No42c6,245$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.1415550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No41c4,159$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.015369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No41c4,031$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.5822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No41c2,903$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.585933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes61c2,554$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c2,466$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes59c2,230$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No41c1,837$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.593237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Yes60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No42c1,181$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.943839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c1,112$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6456033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes58c1,110$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes58c1,089$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes58c1,035$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes60c1,005$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.7524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed Yes58c957.64$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes59c799.7$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.822433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes13c758.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes59c675.19$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes37c618.42$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes56c601.37$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes19c577.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.668229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes57c522.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2908659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No40c472.07$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2412657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes58c413.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes59c400.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23613752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2361040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No42c400$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2317226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes21c400$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.73650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2362142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes58c396$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes11c374.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No41c367.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0712049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes20c361.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4579…9f19backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Yes58c344.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes34c333.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Yes58c306.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No52c305.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0311667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No42c282.94$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1113040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes55c281.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes19c278.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.64717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No60c271.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes59c271$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8927226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed No43c248$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.362055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No42c245.01$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.872347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes38c235.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes58c216.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.413840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c215.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes59c206.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12226744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11614254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.183324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No42c195.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.323348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No41c181.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.926246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes61c177.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.34647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes60c175$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x993e…8ee9backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.