Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charleston Cougars vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1022998674101c7afab0109c3a0c163cc0f50790ebbc1f8029066c7e8e5d4483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Charleston Cougars, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Charleston Cougars | 11c | 7,920$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.57 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed South Florida Bulls | 73c | 6,900$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Charleston Cougars | 27c | 6,837$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.99 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Florida Bulls | 76c | 6,107$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Charleston Cougars | 22c | 6,085$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa8…debfbacked Charleston Cougars | 21c | 4,938$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 79c | 4,029$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Charleston Cougars | 9c | 2,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Charleston Cougars | 8c | 1,989$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Charleston Cougars | 16c | 1,627$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Charleston Cougars | 17c | 1,160$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Charleston Cougars | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Charleston Cougars | 8c | 796$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Charleston Cougars | 37c | 752.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charleston Cougars | 10c | 716.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Charleston Cougars | 18c | 646$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Charleston Cougars | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Charleston Cougars | 15c | 564.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Charleston Cougars | 10c | 524$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Charleston Cougars | 25c | 510.38$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Charleston Cougars | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Charleston Cougars | 16c | 462.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charleston Cougars | 11c | 364.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed Charleston Cougars | 25c | 308$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Charleston Cougars | 11c | 276$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Charleston Cougars | 18c | 272.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Charleston Cougars | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Charleston Cougars | 13c | 207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Charleston Cougars | 12c | 162.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked South Florida Bulls | 79c | 152.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Charleston Cougars | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Charleston Cougars | 18c | 113.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Charleston Cougars | 11c | 107.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Charleston Cougars | 17c | 102.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Charleston Cougars | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Charleston Cougars | 13c | 98.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed South Florida Bulls | 74c | 73.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…a389backed Charleston Cougars | 21c | 73.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Charleston Cougars | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Charleston Cougars | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed South Florida Bulls | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked South Florida Bulls | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.