TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No79c18,281$14,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,476.441,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c9,402$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.861,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes14c6,001$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,147.8340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes13c5,848$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.099159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes13c5,362$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,657.4138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes14c5,336$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c4,059$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.4111438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2769…673bbacked Yes13c4,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes14c3,639$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.8929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes24c3,500$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.977750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked No71c3,250$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.483342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1fbb…06c5backed Yes14c3,171$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.05450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…8e43backed Yes78c2,619$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No22c2,409$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.3920343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No14c2,227$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5420948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes28c2,149$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5257…0542backed Yes15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Yes46c1,975$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes45c1,721$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes32c1,503$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.0410845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes13c1,500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9924327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+83.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes75c1,306$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4712737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c1,261$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.8337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No63c1,233$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.120462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c1,184$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.8338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c1,140$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.4758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes17c1,116$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.333823.7%9 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No74c1,100$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c1,061$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.7534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes12c1,042$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.675349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes39c990.52$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes13c945.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.458151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes14c909.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.13941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No67c871$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.089754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes31c805.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.133135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes12c777.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.8313927.3%38 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes12c741.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.672450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes14c712.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.241729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No63c706.44$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.574254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes30c700$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.661457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed No59c678.92$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.673333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes11c665.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4512450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb951…90a1backed Yes13c647.23$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3299…2d7bbacked No77c627$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes8c600$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+115.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes11c581.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.822236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c528.7$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No15c504.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.643060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4307146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes13c461.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.543650%18 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d6e…255abacked Yes33c429.97$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes13c425$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3528336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c397.79$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2743333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No63c385.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.338427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.621216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes11c370.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.174746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes15c350.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.782642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.331822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.332060%12 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+75.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes11c303.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed No42c300$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes13c300$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6998…9ff2backed Yes25c296.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes14c286.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.641225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa404…3ee0backed Yes16c283.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+86.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes35c274.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.061747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f3…48e4backed Yes36c270$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes69c261$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.271457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes20c253.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes13c230.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7711735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes24c214.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.11428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc420…eb1bbacked Yes19c211.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.82425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes14c203.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.233432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No67c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1768032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764231%13 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c199.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9921745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes13c194.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.231145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes13c192.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3120133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e34…fe96backed Yes10c191.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid+36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f2…118bbacked No73c187.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…7e61backed Yes11c181.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.821030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a27…e7eebacked Yes14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Yes26c174.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.111650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes12c173.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0839842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes26c171.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7137753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No70c170$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1194427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf18b…05eabacked Yes61c168.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.