Champions League · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f467e4f25d27f67b5ed70158b6e19457fe9dc5aa94b9b8584feb6a947328f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $938,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $903,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 93,826$30,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,502.7 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Yes | 68c | 67,723$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 37c | 38,232$14,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,102.89 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 34,241$23,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,808.06 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 32c | 29,993$9,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,395.14 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 34c | 21,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,849.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 20,848$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,208.9 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 32c | 18,888$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,843.83 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 33c | 18,531$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,415.8 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 17,940$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,019.56 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 33c | 17,077$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.45 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 67c | 16,476$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 15,536$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.32 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 15,000$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 32c | 14,800$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,063.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 67c | 14,527$9,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.06 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes | 69c | 13,716$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 31c | 13,300$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,176.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 68c | 13,200$8,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.79 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 32c | 13,000$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,861.55 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 32c | 12,395$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,431.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 34c | 11,972$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.48 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 31c | 9,107$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.97 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 32c | 8,972$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.95 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 68c | 8,824$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 8,287$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.83 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 69c | 7,290$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 50c | 6,999$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 68c | 6,111$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 58c | 5,979$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 31c | 5,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 4,634$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.08 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed No | 65c | 4,592$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 32c | 4,436$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 54c | 4,231$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,206$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…f0a6backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…9285backed Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 3,890$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 3,860$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.9 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…ae0fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,686$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 54c | 3,455$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked No | 64c | 3,113$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked No | 30c | 3,090$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.94 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.94 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…4484backed Yes | 68c | 2,840$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 2,831$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.55 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 67c | 2,588$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.96 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 30c | 2,517$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.14 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,418$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 30c | 2,300$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 2,267$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.94 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 50c | 2,152$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 31c | 2,000$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 67c | 1,933$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 33c | 1,845$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 33c | 1,788$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 1,721$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.22 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 62c | 1,621$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.61 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 36c | 1,575$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 69c | 1,545$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.79 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,515$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.41 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 69c | 1,505$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.25 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 32c | 1,399$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.41 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 1,380$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.41 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 1,354$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 53c | 1,352$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.38 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 67c | 1,342$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.31 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,331$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.34 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,236$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 1,235$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.83 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 53c | 1,217$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed Yes | 67c | 1,200$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 33c | 1,158$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.7 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 33c | 1,100$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 32c | 1,058$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.57 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 68c | 1,016$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.