TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c10,495$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.891,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No76c8,989$6,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.833154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No70c8,105$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.417346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes20c5,324$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No80c4,576$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.2520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes31c2,645$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.622445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…4be5backed Yes1c1,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c1,748$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.2958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes22c1,719$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes61c1,626$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…0542backed Yes13c1,454$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.73922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c1,404$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.491,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed Yes30c1,334$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes55c1,214$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.151747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No36c1,136$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3314431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No42c960.68$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4143333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes23c920.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8334342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes29c810.63$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.810744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes13c774.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes5c721$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.055729.8%17 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+162.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes19c657.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.023432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dc…967ebacked Yes40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a88…2854backed Yes23c574.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c489.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes19c477.92$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…8e43backed Yes68c392.65$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c388.29$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes19c338$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.22825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes65c337.49$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.864254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes60c334.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c330.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes40c292.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.34158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes25c275.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes30c256.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc085…7634backed Yes34c253.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.180%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes16c242$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes31c234.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.812450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes22c205.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.188027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes18c196.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.364540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e34…fe96backed Yes38c182.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid+36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c180$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a61…e1b6backed Yes44c179.54$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes29c173.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c170$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes44c147.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid+63.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes25c133.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.312450%12 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes69c132.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.262254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked Yes57c131.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.011656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No79c128.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes33c121$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2538935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6584…9a74backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No64c118.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.432035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9829034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes20c101.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc406…12bebacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37c…189abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…a6b5backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7615…d605backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x722e…119abacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ab…71dfbacked Yes26c97.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6e…255abacked Yes44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes39c97.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.543033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes14c97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Yes20c94.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2441…a4c9backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes38c89.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No47c86.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3210649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No70c81.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.165455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes16c67.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.873327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.