TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,258,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,239,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,258,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes0c1,405,250$6,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,576.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…0b55backed Yes13c824,524$105,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793e…baefbacked Yes12c604,031$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x560a…4a33backed Yes10c595,230$59,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,28920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x418b…b774backed Yes11c521,960$55,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,570.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cc…8537backed Yes12c455,304$53,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,149.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986d…2329backed Yes13c434,324$56,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,571.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85d…8cefbacked Yes18c408,585$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes11c279,924$29,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,678.23425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Yes10c236,083$23,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,546.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes11c230,080$24,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,577.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adb…a902backed Yes10c207,060$19,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ba…6515backed Yes2c207,031$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81c…3e1ebacked Yes10c178,819$17,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,85020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes10c177,822$17,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,122.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes10c177,362$17,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,414.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Yes10c167,264$15,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,907.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes10c140,000$13,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,668333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d5…f347backed Yes10c139,570$13,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,956.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18dd…c89cbacked Yes11c119,332$13,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,229.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Yes9c113,261$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd262…8553backed Yes9c111,248$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Yes9c106,247$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3916…b997backed Yes9c104,573$9,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,833.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…85d8backed Yes11c101,542$11,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,62020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0a…a38abacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+159.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…9e49backed Yes10c99,638$9,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,983.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0efb…6cccbacked Yes10c98,932$9,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,488.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes10c92,741$9,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,332.531020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73df…0c9abacked Yes11c92,527$10,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,433.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6d…12dbbacked Yes11c91,920$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes1c91,331$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes9c90,450$8,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,186.29633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…f19fbacked Yes10c88,985$8,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,987.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes9c85,000$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,882.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Yes9c83,995$7,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,375333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+89.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes9c83,306$7,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,475.535345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes9c75,000$6,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ea…28e4backed Yes9c73,502$6,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,730.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes13c71,123$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…fca1backed Yes11c71,061$7,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,672.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c9…ddb1backed Yes9c67,836$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a10…2b17backed Yes11c60,472$6,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,885.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ae…a12abacked Yes11c56,467$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7866…15fcbacked Yes11c55,818$5,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1233…a600backed Yes9c55,495$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f90…da87backed Yes1c55,190$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6101…49dcbacked Yes11c55,157$6,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,146.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Yes10c54,790$5,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,446.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3075…f2c1backed Yes9c53,769$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899e…c5f6backed Yes9c53,688$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…5029backed Yes9c52,346$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,67010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cf…e466backed Yes9c51,532$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…66b1backed Yes10c51,408$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71a6…c7ffbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Yes11c50,000$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes11c49,262$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,247.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f7…4e7abacked Yes10c48,638$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b8…87f9backed Yes9c47,022$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes11c46,155$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1a…9732backed Yes13c45,778$6,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,022.7660%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c1…fbfabacked Yes9c45,484$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…1d78backed Yes11c43,991$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b1…7cadbacked Yes9c43,613$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc73…ed2abacked Yes11c43,511$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c0…dae3backed Yes14c43,376$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe899…19babacked Yes11c43,150$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845d…620fbacked Yes10c43,146$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…ca4fbacked Yes8c41,643$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,469.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes12c40,756$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes8c40,679$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fd…16aebacked Yes11c40,629$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Yes10c40,252$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a2…fbdebacked Yes10c40,011$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55b…bc5abacked Yes9c38,646$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.67911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes11c38,601$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e86…9a71backed Yes12c38,380$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…64f9backed Yes9c38,147$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-76.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…02b7backed Yes10c38,130$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20bd…1446backed Yes11c37,188$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c8…5e06backed Yes0c36,770$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes11c36,577$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0908…d5e3backed Yes11c35,552$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ee…e6a0backed Yes9c35,369$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes10c35,149$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a07…dffabacked Yes9c34,211$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Yes9c33,477$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Yes10c33,313$3,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.02633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62da…62cbbacked Yes9c33,078$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes12c33,037$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes9c33,000$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8909…11a2backed Yes9c32,661$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659a…9e85backed Yes9c32,652$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes9c32,506$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.18616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd68…8b82backed Yes12c32,189$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5de2…e6c9backed Yes9c32,022$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44f…3f19backed Yes2c31,266$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec1…0cb5backed Yes11c31,191$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c65…701bbacked Yes10c31,103$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Yes10c31,057$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.