TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,085,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,988,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,085,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,869 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed2c…9597backed Yes3c1,819,910$54,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,307.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes3c1,213,870$34,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,983.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e7…8197backed Yes3c538,654$15,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,596.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes3c507,134$16,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,228.291020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18dd…c89cbacked Yes4c412,544$16,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,265.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7263backed Yes2c315,389$7,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes3c296,242$7,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,698.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560a…4a33backed Yes3c259,162$8,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,06920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x793e…baefbacked Yes4c241,028$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes3c210,631$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Yes4c187,944$7,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,237.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes4c169,638$6,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.13616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3632…0fe6backed Yes1c136,658$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1601…30fbbacked Yes4c121,927$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ff…4451backed Yes3c121,185$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes3c120,000$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,066.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…0b55backed Yes5c106,647$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…7a9cbacked Yes3c100,000$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f7…48bfbacked Yes3c99,846$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…f757backed Yes3c90,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Yes3c75,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b27…c211backed Yes3c71,429$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…66b1backed Yes3c70,516$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes3c70,002$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.91020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes3c68,000$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes3c66,986$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c65,430$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.11020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Yes3c65,024$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Yes3c63,300$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73df…0c9abacked Yes3c60,136$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes3c60,085$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e1…48b8backed Yes4c60,022$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc472…ced9backed Yes3c57,757$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c57,337$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbf…274ebacked Yes4c56,242$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…ca4fbacked Yes3c55,556$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb22…fef3backed Yes4c54,358$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…85d8backed Yes3c54,268$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c78…42e6backed Yes3c52,980$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Yes3c50,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes2c49,777$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes4c49,308$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.190%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88e5…66b2backed Yes9c47,936$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes3c42,416$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…8a89backed Yes3c41,502$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes4c40,793$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x373a…02b7backed Yes3c40,475$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eca…b133backed Yes4c40,355$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes3c40,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes3c36,258$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed Yes3c36,032$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc2…0981backed Yes3c35,800$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x643b…929fbacked Yes3c35,633$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…f19fbacked Yes3c35,000$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes3c34,011$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a10…2b17backed Yes3c33,736$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes3c31,927$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes3c31,500$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbe…3779backed Yes3c31,249$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+127.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c3…c593backed Yes3c31,080$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44d…ba3abacked Yes3c31,012$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7558…de87backed Yes3c30,288$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca0…6e36backed Yes3c30,031$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc38f…4d34backed Yes3c30,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b34…92b7backed Yes3c29,850$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+287.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b30…cc72backed Yes2c29,689$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes4c29,192$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce0…52febacked Yes3c28,893$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…722bbacked Yes2c28,889$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Yes3c28,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…63ddbacked Yes3c28,588$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf14…3b60backed Yes3c28,408$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5412…f86fbacked Yes4c27,714$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Yes4c27,027$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e9…47d5backed Yes3c26,620$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes4c26,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f9…621fbacked Yes4c26,085$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…0eb1backed Yes4c25,546$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Yes3c25,517$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f6…1e43backed Yes4c24,752$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fe…16fbbacked Yes3c24,719$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc03…804cbacked Yes3c24,444$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes3c24,304$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+184.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd6…0113backed Yes4c23,972$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes12c23,052$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.9290%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49cb…05b2backed Yes4c22,694$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb73…e3a4backed Yes3c22,480$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4599…d638backed Yes5c22,003$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdec…32a2backed Yes4c21,792$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Yes3c21,535$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes4c20,525$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes3c20,430$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6977…394abacked Yes3c20,260$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1e…fd09backed Yes3c20,061$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2306…37c5backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…2b4bbacked Yes3c19,726$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4c…392fbacked Yes3c19,250$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf186…6851backed Yes4c19,249$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc74…ed10backed Yes3c19,231$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes4c19,198$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.