TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,053,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,043,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes18c460,924$82,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,631.7115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes18c280,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,399.971844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes2c15,980$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.423325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes6c15,579$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c11,645$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.631,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes18c11,111$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.982540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9811838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes17c6,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.984643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes2c3,854$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Yes5c3,800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c3,563$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.891305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Yes18c3,479$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes16c3,408$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.413727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ee…344bbacked Yes19c3,300$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes18c3,103$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.429111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes19c2,520$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.878040%32 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes4c2,423$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4695…c68fbacked Yes18c2,098$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes8c1,854$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes19c1,800$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e4…3342backed Yes5c1,800$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842025%5 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Yes5c1,709$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…121ebacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick9cpaid+252.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes18c1,393$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.85034%17 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes4c1,360$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.277116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes15c1,327$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9921353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes10c1,223$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c1,221$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.014131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes3c1,119$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.821747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes18c1,062$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c1,002$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…701abacked Yes19c919.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.37per pick40cpaid+118.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No78c884.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.76150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes16c841$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes9c800$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes18c764.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes17c723.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235151%26 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes5c721$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.057429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x515c…fd9abacked Yes18c716.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes11c696.01$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5611125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes18c674.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes16c634.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes2c619.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.317017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes18c605.61$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.012532%8 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Yes4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes18c597.39$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5329427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…1f2bbacked Yes17c597.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f9…3970backed Yes17c594.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9970%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Yes16c587$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f8…2e76backed Yes19c579.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.191030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes11c562.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.771225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3606…96f1backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick24cpaid+140.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed No80c535.89$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.184252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c530.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7620027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes18c492.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.741,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x120f…d87cbacked Yes5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c5…e422backed Yes11c411.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3659…db1dbacked Yes18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes16c363.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.143417.6%6 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-63.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605939%23 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes19c352.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes19c350.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b1…c7e3backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…9311backed Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes10c299.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0413941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes6c291$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc55e…bfdbbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes22c269.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3518929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes7c267$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5415238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes8c259$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd0…e557backed Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes6c245$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84250%21 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa8…e233backed Yes11c237.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Yes19c237.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.892030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes12c220$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes18c220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.625339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0882…0565backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.