Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8087668016019c5ea0fd41d2f99beba484fc45478dd8db9db0934173af628f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 14,868$10,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.64 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 22c | 14,815$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.32 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 14,389$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.27 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 77c | 10,068$7,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.57 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 4,952$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.15 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 4,010$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.3 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 24c | 3,748$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.22 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 3,527$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.64 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,137$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 77c | 3,011$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.74 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,330$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.55 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 16c | 2,132$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 22c | 1,991$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,959$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 20c | 1,481$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…cb8abacked No | 77c | 1,475$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 30c | 1,403$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 79c | 1,394$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 1,285$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 72c | 1,242$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,047$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 1,013$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 22c | 1,009$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 70c | 904$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 865.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 798.23$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 773.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +252.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 17c | 670.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…4abbbacked Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 636.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 23c | 564.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 76c | 543$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 497.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 24c | 460.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 441$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 23c | 418.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 78c | 387.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…f62ebacked Yes | 6c | 385.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…2640backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 17c | 308.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 270$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 23c | 268.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 223.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 9c | 204.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 78c | 201.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…fd67backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 19c | 169.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 24c | 167.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…276abacked Yes | 24c | 144.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 23c | 128.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 79c | 115.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…c862backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 26c | 106.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…c236backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…443abacked Yes | 27c | 96.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x120f…d87cbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 538 | 28.3%152 W · 386 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 77.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 23c | 77.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Yes | 20c | 74.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 23c | 67.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Yes | 23c | 59.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 78c | 55.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 53.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 77c | 51.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 24c | 51.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 50.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.