Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef1b6a00964100048f1b76c03b5f1cba5454345a67e4718df6e991bcd324534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,601,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,355,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,601,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 61c | 465,240$283,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,443.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 39c | 222,327$86,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,707.4 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 42c | 197,506$83,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,712.93 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 60c | 188,380$113,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,597.07 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 39c | 156,545$61,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,229.51 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 40c | 149,672$59,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,868.61 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 41c | 121,320$49,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,558.76 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 115,467$35,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,735.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 60c | 112,940$67,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,204.37 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Yes | 61c | 108,607$66,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,037.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 40c | 93,972$37,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,250.44 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 93,106$53,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,354.69 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 67,459$26,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,711.86 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Yes | 53c | 64,912$34,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,508.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 59,589$35,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,891.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 55,174$22,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,591.06 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 40c | 51,626$20,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,774.71 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…3463backed Yes | 59c | 49,286$28,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,387.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 58c | 42,131$24,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,809.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 38c | 41,672$15,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,835.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 62c | 40,444$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,443.88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 41c | 36,114$14,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,627.44 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 61c | 34,270$20,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,365.43 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 40c | 33,381$13,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,352.39 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 32,679$13,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,391.43 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 44c | 30,112$13,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,261.74 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Yes | 59c | 17,000$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 60c | 16,288$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 15,381$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.77 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 32c | 14,185$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.38 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 60c | 13,333$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.33 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 42c | 13,000$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 40c | 12,926$5,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.81 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 39c | 12,820$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.79 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 12,106$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 11,892$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.61 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 40c | 11,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 40c | 10,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 46c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 9,829$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.49 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 58c | 9,782$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 59c | 9,204$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 57c | 8,535$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 27c | 7,400$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 39c | 7,194$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.52 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 7,113$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.12 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 6,413$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 61c | 6,017$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.08 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Yes | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed No | 39c | 5,984$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 39c | 5,681$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.61 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 42c | 5,434$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,239$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 40c | 5,165$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.1 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 45c | 5,135$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.21 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…e3bfbacked Yes | 60c | 5,078$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…809bbacked No | 40c | 5,064$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 5,014$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.97 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.96 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 28c | 4,955$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.27 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 60c | 4,583$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 60c | 4,300$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 4,299$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.01 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 59c | 4,240$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.15 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 60c | 4,150$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.4 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 42c | 4,116$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked No | 42c | 4,100$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…07ddbacked Yes | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 60c | 3,916$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 3,644$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.69 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,566$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 41c | 3,395$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 60c | 3,245$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.95 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 80c | 2,908$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 43c | 2,900$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.26 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 2,889$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 2,857$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.63 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 60c | 2,730$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 54c | 2,684$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.41 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 59c | 2,598$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.18 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 41c | 2,581$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 2,518$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.72 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,418$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 59c | 2,320$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.