Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f66508234f63a9e6060809b163af000bdedf899599e9710962b272e1134663f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,880,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,108,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,880,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,046 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Yes | 47c | 783,848$370,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413,595.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 52c | 433,289$227,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,077.51 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 45c | 197,626$89,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,295.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes | 48c | 197,500$94,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 54c | 151,485$81,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,839.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 148,485$82,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,042.29 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 53c | 128,108$67,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,575.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 53c | 106,383$56,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,382.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 54c | 104,760$56,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,901.89 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 104,387$46,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,581.18 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,999.98 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 53c | 96,546$51,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,169.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 58c | 95,272$55,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,257.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 84,101$38,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,674.35 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 80,000$34,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,599.99 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 55c | 79,402$43,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,791.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 44c | 74,551$32,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,748.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 40c | 62,193$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,193.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 51,063$28,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,708.58 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.97 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 56c | 45,900$25,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,710.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 53c | 40,258$21,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,151.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 61c | 36,400$22,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,164.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 59c | 30,535$17,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,585.26 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 55c | 27,775$15,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,342.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 43c | 23,057$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,057.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 57c | 20,040$11,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,423.19 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 19,642$10,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,856.71 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 31c | 19,434$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.99 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,577.28 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 16,681$8,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,072.89 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 56c | 15,307$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560.18 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 12,526$7,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.35 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 58c | 12,508$7,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.64 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 43c | 11,606$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,606.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 11,603$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.54 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 45c | 11,074$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 46c | 10,854$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 10,375$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.76 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 54c | 10,000$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.64 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 56c | 9,200$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 9,000$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.98 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 45c | 8,455$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 53c | 8,057$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.54 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 57c | 7,343$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.68 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 47c | 7,178$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 48c | 7,060$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 54c | 7,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.97 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 30c | 6,762$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 48c | 6,708$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.49 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 54c | 6,498$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed No | 57c | 6,300$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 54c | 6,203$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 41c | 6,111$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.76 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 43c | 5,880$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.35 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 57c | 5,802$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 72c | 5,375$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.81 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 58c | 5,073$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 57c | 5,040$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.17 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.91 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 57c | 4,993$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 57c | 4,769$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.25 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…aa90backed No | 58c | 4,724$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…df84backed Yes | 42c | 4,717$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…6de1backed Yes | 43c | 4,565$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbd…f014backed No | 57c | 4,552$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…19d9backed Yes | 43c | 4,515$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 43c | 4,416$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Yes | 51c | 4,387$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 57c | 4,371$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…81d2backed Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 41c | 3,802$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 3,687$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.28 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,659$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.54 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.49 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…4fa8backed Yes | 43c | 3,197$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 59c | 2,743$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.05 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 74c | 2,731$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…f5f5backed Yes | 44c | 2,726$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 57c | 2,645$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 47c | 2,611$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 57c | 2,606$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Yes | 43c | 2,491$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.