Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0f98fe11df009bb0d356163595d49cc723aac35b8e8dbc6b3d48219b7942c42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 75c | 34,273$25,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.18 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 9,954$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.05 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 24c | 8,161$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.69 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 7,690$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.72 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 5,888$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 3,660$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.9 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 3,649$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.76 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,937$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.18 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 2,342$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.74 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 25c | 2,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,783$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 24c | 1,508$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked No | 76c | 1,493$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 1,386$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.59 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 25c | 1,171$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.78 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 76c | 1,158$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Yes | 28c | 1,069$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed Yes | 25c | 1,034$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 999.99$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 943.48$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 940.53$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 926$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 22c | 914.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 888.54$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 21c | 873.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 76c | 868.42$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 742.02$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 24c | 710.74$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.58 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…c030backed Yes | 25c | 704.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 692.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 23c | 661.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked No | 77c | 650.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 640.18$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 79c | 638.74$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 16c | 624.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 75c | 579.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Yes | 20c | 565.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…f2e4backed Yes | 18c | 555.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 20c | 481.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…bb4fbacked Yes | 19c | 461.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836d…7ae0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 76c | 452$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 75c | 421.37$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 420.1$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…89e9backed Yes | 24c | 414.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 25c | 374.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 22c | 357.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 22c | 350$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Yes | 25c | 348$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 26c | 341.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…64b8backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 21c | 331.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 78c | 313.09$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 76c | 293.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 20c | 290.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 25c | 283.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 21c | 277.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ffa3backed Yes | 21c | 258.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 24c | 249.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…3094backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 62c | 217.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…593dbacked No | 76c | 215$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…2f49backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…d4c3backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…03a6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.