TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75a4…ffa3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$37.27
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$12.42
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$22.73
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.69
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.41
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$59.74
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.39
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.49
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$98.58
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.45
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$15.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$37.85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$64.2
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53%+$10.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$56.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$29.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.