Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x584a5bace2fb87cc36e3b4a484ed9618f9525da9457d9f3ffc2104aa9d3e3938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,414$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 1,983$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.06 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 1,454$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 76c | 1,154$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,142$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 77c | 758.24$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 737.56$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 445$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 65c | 426.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 44c | 357$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 78c | 356.29$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 264.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 253.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 236.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 186.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…1d19backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 34c | 149.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 79c | 131.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 111.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 76c | 109$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 102.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 101.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 65c | 101.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 70c | 93.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…0ce8backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 82.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 72.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ffa3backed Yes | 61c | 58.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 54.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 62c | 49.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 80c | 49.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Yes | 66c | 46.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 34c | 41.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…4b01backed Yes | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 30.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 34c | 30.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 28.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 78c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked Yes | 66c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 58c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 70c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 73c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.